Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) is currently trading at $393.52. Based on 18 Wall Street analysts, the average target price is $375.50, implying a 4.6% downside. The consensus recommendation is BUY.

Over the past 30 days, the feed records 7 target raises and 0 target cuts for MPC. Over the past 90 days, the feed records 20 target raises and 1 target cut for MPC.

MPC

Marathon Petroleum Corporation

EnergyOpinion: buy

Opinion Criteria: Based on the consensus of Wall Street analysts. Strong Buy (1.0-1.5), Buy (1.5-2.5), Hold (2.5-3.5), Sell (3.5-4.5), Strong Sell (4.5-5.0).

Price (USD)

$393.52

Consensus target price range

Low–high band from analyst PT changes in the last 3 months; median & sample mean vs current price

LowHigh
$289.00$472.00
Current $393.52
Median: $357.00Mean: $367.67Current: $393.52

Recent price target updates (latest 80)

  • JefferiesSep 22, 2026

    PT action: Announces

    $0.00 → $413.00

  • Goldman SachsSep 21, 2026

    PT action: Raises

    $376.00 → $472.00

  • Raymond JamesSep 14, 2026

    PT action: Raises

    $350.00 → $445.00

  • Morgan StanleySep 14, 2026

    PT action: Raises

    $265.00 → $453.00

  • UBSSep 8, 2026

    PT action: Raises

    $321.00 → $450.00

  • Piper SandlerSep 3, 2026

    PT action: Raises

    $344.00 → $462.00

  • Wells FargoSep 1, 2026

    PT action: Raises

    $359.00 → $400.00

  • MizuhoAug 11, 2026

    PT action: Raises

    $284.00 → $304.00

  • Piper SandlerAug 6, 2026

    PT action: Raises

    $343.00 → $344.00

  • BarclaysAug 6, 2026

    PT action: Raises

    $289.00 → $321.00

  • TD CowenAug 5, 2026

    PT action: Raises

    $357.00 → $375.00

  • CitigroupAug 5, 2026

    PT action: Raises

    $303.00 → $318.00

  • Wells FargoAug 5, 2026

    PT action: Raises

    $344.00 → $359.00

  • Evercore ISI GroupAug 5, 2026

    PT action: Raises

    $300.00 → $330.00

  • Goldman SachsJul 22, 2026

    PT action: Raises

    $291.00 → $376.00

  • TD CowenJul 21, 2026

    PT action: Raises

    $315.00 → $357.00

  • CitigroupJul 14, 2026

    PT action: Raises

    $257.00 → $303.00

  • Evercore ISI GroupJul 13, 2026

    PT action: Raises

    $245.00 → $300.00

  • Raymond JamesJul 13, 2026

    PT action: Raises

    $300.00 → $335.00

  • BarclaysJul 13, 2026

    PT action: Raises

    $270.00 → $289.00

Band uses only the revised target (Current column) from firm actions dated within the last 3 months—not the Prior price.

Avg Target

$375.50

Based on 18 analysts

Analyst Recommendations

Buy (9)Hold (9)Sell (1)

Upside

-4.58%

Market Cap

$110.51B

Financial & Investment Metrics

Next Earnings Date
Nov 3, 2026D-38
P/E Ratio (TTM)13.64
Forward P/E8.35
P/B Ratio5.84
Dividend Yield1.02%
Return on Equity (ROE)42.10%
Operating Margin13.56%
Debt to Equity133.33
Beta (Volatility)0.53
52 Week Range$161.93 - $431.08
LowCurrent: $393.52High

Daily editorial mentioning MPC

Price target moves

AMD Target Hiked to $550 as Utilities Face Sector-Wide Price Cuts

The corporate profit machine continues to churn out mixed signals, and Wall Street's sell-side desks are busy adjusting their goalposts to match. According to our latest 275-stock watchlist data compiled as of August 6, 2026, at 12:03 AM UTC, we are seeing an even split in recent sentiment. Over the past 14 days, the ledger recorded exactly 12 target price upgrades and 12 downgrades. This neat balance masks some highly volatile adjustments underneath, particularly in high-growth technology and defensive utility names.

Upgrades and downgrades

A two-week window of revisions reveals a stark divergence between aggressive growth targets in technology and a quiet retreat from defensive sectors.

The most eye-catching move comes from DA Davidson, which aggressively lifted its target price on AMD from $425 to $550. That massive $125 jump leaves the chipmaker with an implied upside of 20.1%, signaling that some analysts see plenty of room for expansion despite the stock's recent run. One name worth isolating on the opposite end of the sentiment spectrum is Amgen (AMGN). Both UBS and TD Cowen revised their price targets upward—UBS going from $420 to $440 and TD Cowen pushing from $420 to $452. Yet, despite these higher targets, AMGN carries a negative implied upside of -12.5%. That spread matters because it shows the stock has run up so fast that even these freshly upgraded targets sit well below current market levels.

Meanwhile, consumer names are feeling some pressure. McDonald's (MCD) saw two separate downward revisions, with RBC Capital trimming its target from $305 to $295, and Keybanc dropping its figure from $315 to $305. Over in the real estate space, SBAC was cut by Truist Securities from $248 to $238, though it still holds an implied upside of 28.7%.

Ticker Firm Dir Prior→Current
AMD DA Davidson up $425 → $550
AMGN TD Cowen up $420 → $452
PEG Citigroup down $91 → $84
MCD RBC Capital down $305 → $295

The defensive utility sector faced a coordinated wave of target trims. Citigroup lowered American Electric Power (AEP) from $148 to $142, while also slashing Public Service Enterprise Group (PEG) from $91 to $84. Wells Fargo also cut PEG, though more conservatively, from $91 to $89. Duke Energy (DUK) was not spared either, with BMO Capital and Barclays both dropping their targets to $132. It appears analysts are reassessing the premium they are willing to pay for steady utility dividends as broader economic conditions shift.

Limits of the data

These target adjustments offer valuable clues about institutional sentiment, but they come with built-in blind spots that investors should not ignore.

First, price targets are fundamentally lagging indicators. Analysts frequently adjust their targets after a company reports earnings or when a macroeconomic shift has already occurred, meaning these revisions often reflect past performance rather than predictive foresight. The Amgen anomaly is a perfect example of this lag, where the stock price has outpaced the analysts' ability to recalculate their models in real time.

Second, an individual firm's upgrade does not represent the consensus mean. When DA Davidson sets a $550 target for AMD, it represents one optimistic voice on the street, not the average expectation of all covering analysts. The consensus mean target acts as a smoothing mechanism, diluting extreme outer-bound targets to provide a more conservative baseline. Finally, these figures do not account for sudden market-wide liquidity shifts or geopolitical events that can render a 12-month price target obsolete overnight. Relying solely on these revisions without looking at underlying balance sheets can leave market participants catching falling knives or missing extended rallies.

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Insider Sentiment Index (Last 6 Months)

Counts and listings exclude stock awards, gifts, and option exercises—open-market purchases and sales only.

Buy vs Sell (Count)

Insider Buys: 0Insider Sells: 10

Whale Trades (C-Level Large Buys)

No major insider buying detected recently.

Recent Insider Transactions

DateNamePositionTransactionShares
8/31/2026LYON SHAWN M.OfficerSale at price 368.51 - 375.75 per share.1,425
8/27/2026BRZEZINSKI ERIN MOfficerSale at price 362.79 per share.570
8/17/2026BENSON MOLLY R.OfficerSale at price 358.57 per share.17,196
8/13/2026LYON SHAWN M.OfficerSale at price 350.00 per share.2,500
8/12/2026HENSCHEN MICHAEL A IIOfficerSale at price 341.56 per share.6,011
6/4/2026HENSCHEN MICHAEL A IIOfficerSale at price 268.75 - 268.84 per share.6,336
5/13/2026HESSLING RICKY D.OfficerSale at price 250.00 per share.1,000
3/13/2026HESSLING RICKY D.OfficerSale at price 228.18 per share.1,626
3/12/2026HESSLING RICKY D.OfficerSale at price 224.51 - 230.00 per share.2,847
2/12/2026HENSCHEN MICHAEL A IIOfficerSale at price 202.32 per share.5,289

Frequently Asked Questions

Q. What is the current target price and upside for MPC?

A. The current target price for Marathon Petroleum Corporation is $375.50, which implies a 4.6% downside from the current price of $393.52. This is based on the consensus of 18 Wall Street analysts.

Q. What is the current analyst recommendation for MPC?

A. Currently, there are 4 Strong Buy, 5 Buy, 9 Hold, 0 Sell, and 1 Strong Sell ratings. The overall consensus is BUY.

Q. Are insiders buying MPC stock recently?

A. Over the past 6 months, there have been 0 insider buys and 10 insider sells. Insider selling is more prominent recently.

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