Progressive Corporation (The) (PGR) is currently trading at $204.54. Based on 21 Wall Street analysts, the average target price is $231.71, implying a 13.3% upside. The consensus recommendation is HOLD.

PGR

Progressive Corporation (The)

FinancialsOpinion: hold

Opinion Criteria: Based on the consensus of Wall Street analysts. Strong Buy (1.0-1.5), Buy (1.5-2.5), Hold (2.5-3.5), Sell (3.5-4.5), Strong Sell (4.5-5.0).

Price (USD)

$204.54

Consensus target price range

Low–high band from analyst PT changes in the last 3 months; median & sample mean vs current price

LowHigh
$198.00$331.00
Current $204.54
Median: $230.00Mean: $246.88Current: $204.54

Recent price target updates (latest 80)

  • B of A SecuritiesJul 16, 2026

    PT action: Lowers

    $313.00 → $308.00

  • Wells FargoJul 16, 2026

    PT action: Lowers

    $205.00 → $198.00

  • Evercore ISI GroupJul 16, 2026

    PT action: Lowers

    $240.00 → $230.00

  • BMO CapitalJul 16, 2026

    PT action: Lowers

    $220.00 → $205.00

  • Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsJul 16, 2026

    PT action: Lowers

    $231.00 → $226.00

  • JP MorganJul 14, 2026

    PT action: Announces

    $0.00 → $250.00

  • Evercore ISI GroupJul 10, 2026

    PT action: Raises

    $230.00 → $240.00

  • MizuhoJul 9, 2026

    PT action: Raises

    $217.00 → $243.00

  • Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsJul 8, 2026

    PT action: Raises

    $210.00 → $231.00

  • HSBCJul 6, 2026

    PT action: Raises

    $214.00 → $221.00

  • UBSJun 30, 2026

    PT action: Raises

    $220.00 → $230.00

  • Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsJun 18, 2026

    PT action: Raises

    $208.00 → $210.00

  • Wells FargoJun 18, 2026

    PT action: Lowers

    $222.00 → $219.00

  • B of A SecuritiesJun 18, 2026

    PT action: Lowers

    $331.00 → $313.00

  • B of A SecuritiesJun 2, 2026

    PT action: Raises

    $320.00 → $331.00

  • Wells FargoMay 21, 2026

    PT action: Raises

    $218.00 → $222.00

  • B of A SecuritiesMay 21, 2026

    PT action: Lowers

    $325.00 → $320.00

  • B of A SecuritiesApr 16, 2026

    PT action: Raises

    $298.00 → $312.00

  • BMO CapitalApr 16, 2026

    PT action: Raises

    $208.00 → $221.00

  • Wells FargoApr 16, 2026

    PT action: Raises

    $215.00 → $218.00

Band uses only the revised target (Current column) from firm actions dated within the last 3 months—not the Prior price.

Avg Target

$231.71

Based on 21 analysts

Analyst Recommendations

Buy (7)Hold (15)Sell (3)

Upside

+13.29%

Market Cap

$118.92B

Financial & Investment Metrics

Next Earnings Date
Oct 14, 2026D-84
P/E Ratio (TTM)10.26
Forward P/E12.60
P/B Ratio3.46
Dividend Yield6.75%
Return on Equity (ROE)34.94%
Operating Margin18.21%
Debt to Equity24.43
Beta (Volatility)0.25
52 Week Range$189.20 - $254.93
LowCurrent: $204.54High

Latest News

Daily editorial mentioning PGR

Price target moves

Utility Sector Dominates PT Upgrades as IBM Faces $80 Target Slash

The most significant price target shift in our data as of July 17, 2026, involves a sharp $80 reduction for IBM by Argus Research, moving the target from $360 down to $280. While that headline figure captures attention, the broader story over the last 14 days is a concentrated wave of optimism directed at the Utilities sector.

The week in PT changes

JP Morgan led a flurry of activity yesterday, specifically targeting a wide basket of utilities. XEL saw its target climb from $91 to $102, while DUK and ETR received meaningful bumps to $141 and $139, respectively. This movement suggests a coordinated reassessment of defensive, rate-sensitive equities. Elsewhere, Goldman Sachs GS saw its target lifted by Citigroup, moving from $1100 to $1200, even as the analyst noted the stock is currently trading near that ceiling.

The activity was not exclusively bullish. Healthcare names faced notable headwinds, with Truist Securities cutting their outlook on ISRG by $70, taking it from $580 to $510. Similarly, the Consumer Staples space showed mixed sentiment; while JP Morgan pushed CL up to $104, they simultaneously lowered their target on HSY to $190.

Ticker Firm Dir Prior→Current
IBM Argus Down 360→280
ISRG Truist Down 580→510
XEL JP Morgan Up 91→102
GS Citigroup Up 1100→1200

For a full breakdown of the latest volatility across these firms, you can review our moves page to see how these specific revisions align with broader sector trends.

What the data does not say

A price target revision is fundamentally a snapshot of a firm’s internal model, not a reflection of shifting market liquidity or macroeconomic shifts. For instance, the $70 reduction in the ISRG target by Truist is a significant recalibration, yet it sits alongside a 36.6% implied upside, highlighting the gap that often exists between analyst pessimism and the broader consensus mean.

Furthermore, the simultaneous upgrade and downgrade of CAG by different firms on the same day underscores that there is no singular institutional view on consumer staples. Analysts are currently grappling with margin pressures that are not uniformly affecting all companies in the sector. These revisions represent the professional opinion of individual desks, which may intentionally diverge from the consensus to capture a specific thesis regarding interest rates or supply chain costs that the broader market has yet to fully price in.

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Insider Sentiment Index (Last 6 Months)

Counts and listings exclude stock awards, gifts, and option exercises—open-market purchases and sales only.

Buy vs Sell (Count)

Insider Buys: 0Insider Sells: 10

Whale Trades (C-Level Large Buys)

No major insider buying detected recently.

Recent Insider Transactions

DateNamePositionTransactionShares
6/24/2026KELLY JEFFREY DDirectorSale at price 216.33 per share.7,000
6/22/2026BROZ STEVENChief Technology OfficerSale at price 204.76 per share.1,157
6/5/2026MURPHY JOHN JOSEPHOfficerSale at price 200.00 per share.5,916
6/5/2026BROZ STEVENChief Technology OfficerSale at price 200.00 per share.1,157
4/16/2026JOHNSON DEVIN CDirectorSale at price 203.10 per share.980
3/20/2026JOYCE CARL G.OfficerSale at price 206.50 per share.270
3/5/2026BAILO KARENOfficerSale at price 212.00 per share.3,517
3/5/2026JOYCE CARL G.OfficerSale at price 212.00 per share.141
2/24/2026PUMAREJO MARIBELOfficerSale at price 203.25 per share.738
2/23/2026BAUER JONATHAN SChief Investment OfficerSale at price 203.05 per share.2,266

Frequently Asked Questions

Q. What is the current target price and upside for PGR?

A. The current target price for Progressive Corporation (The) is $231.71, which implies a 13.3% upside from the current price of $204.54. This is based on the consensus of 21 Wall Street analysts.

Q. What is the current analyst recommendation for PGR?

A. Currently, there are 3 Strong Buy, 4 Buy, 15 Hold, 2 Sell, and 1 Strong Sell ratings. The overall consensus is HOLD.

Q. Are insiders buying PGR stock recently?

A. Over the past 6 months, there have been 0 insider buys and 10 insider sells. Insider selling is more prominent recently.

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